Biosimilars: Slow Progress, Major Opportunities
The biosimilar market presents a study in contrasts. Originator biologics maintained over 50% market share in 2024—significantly higher than typical small molecule scenarios. Yet the future looks promising, with 88 biologics losing exclusivity in the next five years, representing over $100 billion in potential market value.
Some blockbuster drugs are approaching patent cliffs and are creating substantial biosimilar opportunities, despite ongoing challenges including:
- Pricing pressures and rebating expectations
- Payer access restrictions
- Provider prescribing hesitations
- Patient affordability concerns
Vertical Integration: Tighter Control, Greater Complexity
The consolidation of payers and providers has introduced new layers of complexity. This vertical integration enables:
- Stricter formulary management
- Enhanced step therapy requirements
- Greater adoption of interchangeable biosimilars
- More sophisticated enforcement mechanisms
A staggering 77% of industry stakeholders report tight management of biologics classes, with expectations of further tightening as biosimilar competition increases.
Strategic Evolution: Earlier Planning, Smarter Technology
Companies are adapting by starting market access planning during Phase 2/3 trials rather than waiting for later stages. This earlier approach reflects the recognition that commercial viability must be evaluated sooner in our increasingly restrictive environment.
Perhaps most notably, AI adoption is accelerating dramatically:
- 78% of companies currently use AI
- 99% expect to use AI within 2-3 years
- Primary applications include pricing modeling, content development, and competitive intelligence
"The acceleration of AI adoption in pharmaceutical market access is transformative. At ConnectiveRx, we're leveraging these technologies to enhance program management, prevent fraud, improve operational efficiency, and deliver better outcomes for clients.”
- Chris Dowd, ConnectiveRx, SVP, Market Development
The Path Forward
As the pharmaceutical industry navigates these complex dynamics, success requires a multifaceted approach:
- Early engagement with market access planning
- Strategic use of technology to model complex scenarios
- Flexible pricing strategies that account for policy uncertainties
- Proactive relationship building with evolving provider networks
The current landscape demands that manufacturers move beyond traditional launch strategies to embrace sophisticated, data-driven approaches that anticipate barriers rather than simply react to them. Those who master this evolution will be best positioned to ensure their innovations reach the patients who need them most.